Derby Party Winner's Tips: Horse Race Is Saturday

Derby Party Winner's Tips: Horse Race Is Saturday

The 144th edition of the mile-and-a-quarter Kentucky Derby, which is contested by thoroughbreds no older than three, will be held on May 5 at Churchill Downs race track in Louisville, Kentucky.

Mendelssohn is another favorite, but be wary of the horse, as it has had traveled from Europe to get to the Derby.

Thomas calls this year's race a "super high quality Derby field", which makes his breakdown of all 20 horses a must listen.

The pace of the Derby should be dictated by Promises Fulfilled, a Dale Romans trainee.

"Obviously, there's going to be concern with one being caught wide in the first turn and the other one hopefully getting a clean run". Five winners in the last 21 years have come from that post, including 2017 champion Always Dreaming. If the horse gets out of the gates smoothly, he will have the inside track on Justify.

Justify hopes to end Baffert's three-year wait on a victory in this race, having won the most recent of his four crowns with American Pharoah in 2015. The horse moving the best on that turn is often the victor.

Favorites Emerge From Packed Derby Field
Justify made his debut on February 18 and has swept three races, most recently the Santa Anita Derby by 3 lengths last month. This Derby was one of my all-time favorites because Mine That Bird produced one of the biggest upsets in Derby history.

"Sit just right behind the speed and turning for home I'd like to be on the lead, " Casse told KentuckyDerby.com, referring to his ideal setup for the race. With such a large field Justify could have trouble maneuvering for position down the stretch. With 10 starts, he is the most heavily raced horse in the field. The final six major preps were won the sport's dominant trainers - Todd Pletcher (4), Baffert (1) and Chad Brown (1). Bolt d'Oro cost $630,000 at Saratoga in 2016. Lone Sailor and Hofburg only have maiden wins to their credit, yet each finished 2nd in their last outing, earning the necessary points to run in the Derby.

Another horse to keep an eye on is Audible, trained by Fletcher. "Probably one or two a year out of 20, so your percentage chances of winning are small going in". Each has a unique training style that works wonderfully over the long haul. The audiobook company, Audible, is backing its namesake.

Anyone looking for some more depth to their 2018 Kentucky Derby betting guide can check out Bleacher Report, which has an updated list of odds and breakdowns of all the longshots.

Just like Felix Mendelssohn, who had been a child prodigy in painting, music and poetry in the 19th century before he became one of the world's most famous composers, Mendelssohn the horse has enjoyed an equally rapid rise to fame. Love him or hate him, Baffert's horses are always in the mix to win the Derby.

Chocolate Martini - 12-1 Morning Line - If nothing else this horse will be bet for its name I mean who doesn't like a chocolate martini? I already have my 40-1 on Justify.

But when it rains in the hours before post-time, there's not much to do other than study which horses are best at dealing with sloppy conditions. Now, I am looking to get the rest of the money.

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